Atp Tour Finals Betting Tips

Published: 13.11.2018

As the 2018 Nitto ATP Finals head into the second of three rounds of group matches, a couple of questions loom large: can anyone, anyone at all, stop Novak Djokovic? And will any of the matches go to three sets?

All four first-up matches under the O2 Arena roof were won in straight sets: Kevin Anderson beat Dominic Thiem 6-3, 7-6; Kei Nishikori upset Roger Federer 7-6, 6-3; Alexander Zverev defeated Marin Cilic in two tiebreakers; and Djokovic disposed of John Isner 6-4, 6-3.

Kevin Anderson (South Africa) and Kei Nishikori (Japan) will meet around midday local time on Tuesday afternoon (11 p.m. AEDT Tuesday). 9th-ranked Nishikori was one of two “lucky losers” to make this tournament after Rafa Nadal and Juan Martin del Potro withdrew with injury. He enjoys a 5-3 head-to-head record over 2018 Wimbledon finalist Anderson. Palmerbet is offering these head-to-head odds: Nishikori, 1.64, Anderson, 2.27. It’s also offering attractive odds on either player losing the first set and recovering to win the match: Nishikori, 6.00, Anderson, 7.50.

Swiss legend Roger Federer and Austria’s Dominic Thiem both go into their match Tuesday night (Wednesday morning Australia time) under plenty of pressure – given the loser will almost certainly not progress past the group stage. Surprisingly, Thiem has a 2-1 win-loss record against Federer, with all three matches played back in 2016. However, Federer won their only game on hard court (albeit outdoor), winning 6-1, 6-4 in the semi-finals of the 2016 Brisbane International. Unibet is offering these head-to-head odds: Federer, 1.34, Thiem, 3.25. They’re also offering 2.45 on the match going to 3 sets, or 1.54 on it being decided in straight sets.

World number one Novak Djokovic (Serbia) plays Alexander Zverev (Germany) on Wednesday (11 p.m. AEDT) with the winner to almost certainly progress through to the semi-finals. Djoka is back to his unstoppable best, having won 32 of his last 34 matches, including titles at Wimbledon, the Cincinnati Masters, the US Open, and Shanghai Masters. He and Zverev have only met twice, for one win apiece. Djokovic beat Zverev on an outdoor hard court in the semi-finals in Shanghai this year. Zverev won in straight sets on clay in Rome last year. Neds is offering these head-to-head odds: Djokovic, 1.20, Zverev, 4.75. They’re offering juicy 1.62 odds on Djokovic winning in straight sets.


Later Wednesday (early Thursday morning Australia time), Marin Cilic (Croatia) will play John Isner (USA) with both players attempting to stave off almost certain elimination. 10th-ranked Isner was the second lucky loser to obtain entry into this tournament. He has a 3-7 win-loss record against Cilic, although he won their only encounter on an indoor hard court, in the semi-finals of the Paris Masters in 2016. Cilic leads 4-2 overall on hard courts. Ladbrokes is offering 1.44 for Cilic to win, and 2.75 for Isner to win.