Portugal - NEW ZEALAND | AUSSIE SOCCER BETTING BLOG

Published: 22.06.2017

New Zealand v Portugal Betting Tips– 24th June 2017

At half time of their match against Mexico, New Zealand looked on course for an historic win in the Confederations Cup.

Unfortunately, the All Whites were unable to hold onto their 1-0 lead and ended up losing 2-1. That ends New Zealand’s chances of qualifying for the semi-finals but they’ve still got pride to play for when they take on Portugal on Saturday.

Betting Analysis

Mexico manager, Juan Carlos Osorio, made the decision to heavily rotate his team against New Zealand believing that the difference in quality between the two teams would be the deciding factor.

That gives Portugal manager, Fernando Santos, something of a dilemma. Does he decide to give some of his star players a rest ahead of a potential semi-final? Or will he decide that is too much of a risk given that Portugal have not yet qualified from Group A?

When you consider that one of the objectives for Portugal at the Confederations Cup was to keep momentum high, you’ve got to think that Santos will do all he can with his team selection to ensure that Portugal get the win they need.

That’s not good news for New Zealand who have looked very shaky in defence during their time in Russia.

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The bookies have all made Portugal incredibly short odds-on favourites to win the match but there are still ways of making a healthy profit from a Portuguese win.

For one, you can back Portugal -2.5 goals in Unibet’s Asian Handicap market at $1.77.

You can also have a bet on Portugal winning to nil at $1.43 with Palmerbet.

One area where Santos is not completely clear about is his defence. He replaced Jose Fonte with Bruno Alves for the game against Russia and was rewarded with a clean sheet and they should secure another shutout against the Kiwis.

For a bigger priced bet, the odds of $6.50 that Bet365 are quoting on Portugal winning 4-0 could well be worth a smaller stakes bet.

Top Betting Tips

Portugal to win -2.5 goals at $1.77 with Unibet

Portugal to win to nil at $1.43 with Palmerbet

4-0 Portugal correct score at $6.50 with Bet365

Key Battles

New Zealand manager, Anthony Hudson, did a lot of work with his team on their defensive shape before the Confederations Cup.

He wanted to make the All Whites as difficult to beat as possible but even flooding the defence with five players did not help as they conceded two goals in both of their first two games in Group A.

Hudson and his players did at least show a great deal of fighting spirit against Mexico (even if that boiled over into aggression on a couple of occasions) and you should expect a similar approach against Portugal.

That means two things for Portugal.

Firstly, they will need to ensure they are up for the fight early on or else they could find themselves behind the eight ball.

Secondly, they must make the most of their creativity on the ball and their pace in attacking positions. Simply expecting to roll over New Zealand will not cut it.

Match Stats

  • New Zealand and Portugal have never before met on the football pitch
  • New Zealand have won just one of their last five games in all competitions, scoring three goals in that time
  • Portugal are not yet in an automatic qualification position for next summer’s World Cup

Predicted Line-Up

New Zealand – Marinovic; Boxall, Durante, Smith, Ingham, Wynne; McGlinchey, Lewis, Thomas; Wood, Rojas

Portugal – Patricio; Guerrerio, Cedric, Bruno Alves, Fonte; Quaresma, Bernardo Silva, Moutinho, Carvalho; Andre Silva, Ronaldo

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