Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory A-League Betting Tips

Published: 19.12.2018

The Melbourne derby, one of the A-League’s biggest rivalries, takes on huge importance this Saturday night with both teams in the top four. Melbourne Victory have won six in a row to storm to second on the ladder and establish themselves as title favourites, while Melbourne City are five points adrift of their rivals in fourth.

Melbourne City will host this derby at AAMI Park but, given the recent history between these teams, they might be wishing they were the visitors. Six of the past seven A-League Melbourne derbies have been won by the away team. Victory have won the past three encounters at AAMI Park, while City have won three of the past four at Marvel Stadium (formerly Etihad Stadium), which Victory use as their home ground for derbies and other big matches.

Interestingly, you have to go back to February 13, 2016 to find the last draw between these two teams, the only stalemate in 14 A-League matches between the cross-town rivals since City changed their name from Melbourne Heart at the start of the 2014-15 season. The teams have scored a combined 45 goals in those 14 games.

With all these stats in mind, we like Palmerbet’s 4.00 betting odds of a Victory win and both teams to score. Bet365 is paying 1.90 for three goals or more. Digging even deeper into the head-to-head record, five of the last six games have ended 2-1 – and Neds is offering 9.00 for Victory to win 2-1 (or 11.00 for City to win 2-1, for punters banking on an upset).

 

Victory have been in scary form during their six-match winning run, scoring 17 goals and conceding four. They’ve scored three or more goals in the first half on three occasions during that streak, including four in the first 40 minutes in Brisbane last week. Unibet is paying 2.75 for Victory to lead City at half-time, and 7.50 on three or more first half goals in total.