Published: 29.06.2017

Germany U21 v Spain U21 Betting Tips

The Under 21 European Championships give us a look into the future of European football. Some of the most promising young players in the game have taken part in this year’s tournament in Poland resulting in a top-class tournament in its own right.

After two thoroughly entertaining semi-finals we’re left with two fitting teams, Spain and Germany who meet in the final at Krakow Stadium.

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Germany U21 v Spain U21 Betting Analysis

Germany have historically taken Under 21 very seriously. The World Cup winning team from 2016 have their roots in international youth team football and the DFB are hoping for the same outcome with this crop of youngsters.

The difficulty that Germany have is that many of their senior team have been rested for the Confederations Cup. That means players like Timo Werner, Julian Brandt and Niklas Sule are playing out in Russia when they could be part of Stefan Kuntz’s Under 21 squad.

Still, it didn’t look like Germany were at less than full strength in their semi-final against England.

They tore through the English midfield and defence time and time again but were unable to score the goal they needed to stop the game going to penalties.

This Germany side are clearly capable of some quality football but their lack of a cutting edge could hurt them in the final.

That’s not problem that affects Spain. They’ve scored 12 goals in their four tournament games so far and are sure to provide the German defence all sorts of trouble in the final.

So, the first place to turn from a betting perspective is the goals market.

You can get $1.85 with BetEasy that there are over 2.5 goals in the game which looks like a very safe bet to us.

In terms of the match winner, we can be pretty sure that this will be a close game.

It’s hard to argue against Germany and Spain being the best teams in the competition. Spain have been the better of the two but we all know that winning is drilled into German teams.

We think Spain will just about edge it but that Germany will play a major part in the outcome. That makes a bet on Spain winning and both teams scoring look like good value at $3.75 with Bet365.

It may also be worth having a bet on Spain U21s winning the game 2-1 which is $8.50 with Unibet.

Finally, let’s head to the First Goalscorer market.

Spain have some excellent attacking players fit into their 4-3-3 formation but their top two goalscorers in the competition have come from midfield.

Saul scored a hat-trick in the semi-final against Italy but the man to back to score first is Marco Asensio. He’s scored a remarkable five goals in four games and looks a good price at $8 with Sportsbet.

Top Betting Tips

Over 2.5 goals at $1.85 with BetEasy

Spain to win and both teams to score at $3.75 with Bet365

Spain to win 2-1 at $8.50 with Unibet

Marco Asensio to score first at $8 with Sportsbet

Key Battles

Germany’s coaching staff know that their defence will have to be at their very best to have any chance of lifting the trophy.

Spain like to dominate possession where possible in the midfield and then make the most of the intelligent movement of their front three. Whether or not the flat back four of Germany are able to cope with that movement will play a huge role in the destination of the trophy.

The two German defensive midfielders will also have to be at the top of their game to stop Spain from dictating the tempo of the game.

Match Stats

  • Germany’s Under 21 European Championship team from 2009 went on to great things but it’s the only time they’ve won this tournament
  • In contrast, Spain’s Under 21s have lifted the trophy four times
  • While Spain have won all of their games in Poland, Germany have lost one and drawn one
  • Four previous meetings in this tournament have ended with two wins for Spain, one for Germany and one draw

Predicted Line-Up

Germany U21 – Pollersbeck; Toljan, Jung, Kempf, Gerhardt; Haberer, Arnold; Philipp, Meyer, Gnabry; Selke

Spain U21 – Kepa; Castro, Bellerin, Mere, Vallejo; Ceballos, Llorente, Saul; Deulofeu, Asensio, Ramirez

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