Croatia v England Betting Tips – 12th July 2018
It is not unfair to say that Croatia have ridden their luck so far to get to the World Cup semi-final. They were full value to finish top of a tough group that included Argentina, Nigeria and Iceland but had to rely on penalty shootouts to get past Denmark and Russia in their two knockout ties to date.
Next up for Croatia is a semi-final against England in the World Cup semi-final.
It’s a surprise to everybody that England have made it to the final four but it’s no more than Gareth Southgate’s men deserve. The Three Lions were in almost complete control against Sweden in the quarter-final and will be feeling confident about their chances of reaching the final.
Can England Make the Most of Tired Croatian Legs?
Although Zlatko Dalic will be happy with the mental resilience shown by his Croatian team so far in the World Cup, he’ll rightly be concerned about the semi-final.
Croatia’s real strength is in midfield. Luka Modric, Ivan Rakitic and Mateo Kovacic are all of top quality but Croatia have rarely reached the levels they’re capable of in Russia. Their 3-0 win over Argentina will worry all England fans but there is a good chance the effort put in over the last two games will exact a serious toll.
England aren’t exactly flush with top quality passers but they are a fast team more than capable of moving the ball about quickly. If they can keep pulling Croatia out of their shape, England’s fresher legs should make the different.
England also have plenty of motivation as it was defeat against Croatia which saw the Three Lions miss out on a place in Euro 2008. They got some revenge by winning their last two meetings with Croatia 4-1 and 5-1 but this victory will be especially sweet so we recommend betting on England to qualify at $1.62 with Centrebet.
England to Come Strong in the Closing Stages
It was a wonder that any Croatia players had the strength to take penalties against Russia in the quarter-final. They were dropping like flies with cramp and injuries in the closing stages of the match which will really concern Dalic given the amount of pace that England possess.
Croatia have shown they have the stomach for the fight even when things get tough but it could be a case of bodies failing even when minds are willing.
Southgate will be able to introduce Marcus Rashford and – injury permitting – Jamie Vardy from the bench which will be very challenging to defenders who have had to contend with Harry Kane and Raheem Sterling for over an hour.
Will Sterling’s Luck Change in Front of Goal?
Raheem Sterling did some very important work for England against Sweden. His work rate and darting runs kept the Swedish defence on their toes but the Man City forward was pretty poor when he found himself with chances to score.
Sterling now has just two goals in 42 appearances for England but we think he can add to his tally against Croatia. His pace is a major weapon and with Croatia planning to mark Harry Kane out of the game, Sterling can benefit from being afforded some extra pace to bet on him to score anytime at $3.80 with bookmaker.com.au.