Italy vs Australia rugby betting tips

Published: 13.11.2018

Australia will look to move on from the disappointment of losing to Wales when they play Italy in their next Rugby Union international at the 32,000-capacity Stadio Euganeo in Padua on Saturday night (Sunday 1am AEDT).

The 9-6 loss in Cardiff last weekend ended the Wallabies’ 13-match winning streak against the Welsh and marked their 9th Test loss this season. The try-less encounter has led to increasing speculation that coach Michael Cheika might not see out his contract, which is due to end after the 2019 World Cup. Australia are 8.00 at Madbookie to win the World Cup, behind only New Zealand, Ireland, and England.

Loss to Italy Would be Unthinkable

Given the gap between Australia (bet365: 1.062 for the win, -18 in line betting) and Italy (bet365: 8.50 to win, +18 line), a loss in Padua would be unthinkable. The Wallabies have won all 17 matches between the two sides since their first meeting in 1983. A poor season has seen the Wallabies fall to 7th in the World Rugby Rankings, 6 places above Italy.

The Wallabies finished with a 2-4 win-loss record in the Southern Hemisphere’s Rugby Championship earlier this year. But that doesn’t look so bad when compared to Italy’s 0-5 record in the Northern Hemisphere’s Six Nations Championship, which saw the Italians score only 12 tries and concede 27. Italy scored 4 tries in a 28-17 win over lowly Georgia on home soil in Florence last Saturday.

Will Wallabies Stay Defensive?

 Wallabies’ players didn’t back down from the negatives in TV interviews after the game. Flanker David Pocock said the defence was good but the attack “didn’t fire as hoped”, while scrum-half Will Genia said the attack was “probably a little bit disjointed”.

“If I’m honest you’ve got to give credit to their defence as well, they slowed our ball down, they did really well to pressure us at the breakdown and that’s what probably led to the attack being a little bit disjointed, which is frustrating, very frustrating,” Genia said.

Media speculation following the Wales game has centred around whether Cheika will get more games into the likes of Pocock and Genia (who would then play his 100th test the following week against England) or bring in replacements such as Adam Ashley-Cooper, Jake Gordon, Jordan Petaia, and Matt Toomua.

In the advice of one columnist, Cheika should keep the same side, given “this weekend presents a perfect opportunity for the regulars to play their way back into form and chalk up a big score against the 13th-ranked Italians, who, with all respect, are no world-beaters.”

Ireland v All Blacks Betting

In perhaps the biggest match of the Autumn internationals, Ireland (2.98 at Neds) host New Zealand (1.38 at Neds). Ireland started the year with a perfect 5-0 “grand slam” in the Six Nations Championship, and are second favourite for the 2019 World Cup. But New Zealand are the team everyone else will be chasing ahead of the World Cup, and such is the regard for them that they go in as heavy favourites in Dublin despite being the visiting team.