Perth Wildcats vs Melbourne United - NBL - Betting Tips 08-03-2019

Published: 07.03.2019

The Perth Wildcats and Melbourne United meet Friday night at Perth’s RAC Arena in game one of the best-of-five National Basketball League Grand Final. If the form guide is any indication, this series might go the full five matches.

NBL Grand Final Form Guide

One of the Perth Wildcats or Melbourne United have competed in the NBL Grand Final in 11 of the last 13 seasons. Somehow, this is the first time the two NBL heavyweight have made it in the same year. The Wildcats are 4-2 in grand finals over that period. Melbourne United won last year after losing four straight grand finals between 2006-09 when they were still known as the Melbourne Tigers.

Perth and Melbourne split this year’s home-and-away series 2-2. The Wildcats won two tight encounters in Perth, by 5 points in double overtime in October and 5 points in regulation time in January. Melbourne won both of their home matches easily, by 17 points in December and 11 points in the last match of the regular season on February 17. Both teams managed an away win against the other last season.

Perth Wildcats v Melbourne United Betting Tips

 Perth will host game one this Friday night, with Melbourne to host game two on Sunday. The same format will repeat the following Friday and Sunday, with game 5 to be played in Perth if there’s a need. The Wildcats have won each of their last six Grand Final series home matches and rightfully go in as 1.67 favourites at Unibet to win game one of this year’s NBL Grand Final.

Interestingly, Perth has covered the line in each of its last six games as a favourite. Bet365 has set the line at 2.5 points, which we think is an achievable target for the Wildcats at home.

Melbourne has won the first quarter in eight of its last nine games against Perth as underdog. Unibet is paying 2.08 for Melbourne to lead at quarter-time.