Melbourne United vs Sydney Kings - NBL - Betting Tips 28-02-2019

Published: 28.02.2019

There was little separating Melbourne United during the NBL’s regular season, with both teams finishing on 18 wins and 10 losses. On Thursday night, the two teams meet at Melbourne Arena in game one of a three-game series to decide who progresses to the 2018-19 National Basketball League Grand Final.

Melbourne Offence, Sydney Defence the Keys

Melbourne won the regular season series 3-1, although the Kings won the most recent matchup in early February. Six Sydney players scored in double figures the last time these teams met. More importantly, the key to the Kings’ win was the fact they kept Melbourne’s star players Josh Boone and Mitch McCarron to single figures with nine eight points respectively.

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Melbourne have scored 92.3 points per game this season, more than any of the other three teams featuring in the post-season. Sydney have conceded just 85.0 ppg, second in the league behind the Perth Wildcats. The Kings have benefited, of course, from having this season’s MVP and Defensive Player of the Year Andrew Bogut out there. The addition of the former NBA number one draft pick has been one of the main reasons for Sydney’s rise from second-bottom last season to the finals this season.

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Melbourne United v Sydney Kings Betting Tips

Melbourne has a couple of things in its favour going into this match, according to Unibet. It has won 10 of its past 11 matches against Sydney, although this isn’t surprising given it won the title last year. It has also covered the line in each of its last four matches against the Kings. Unibet is paying 1.68 for a Melbourne win and -3.5 in line betting.

Interestingly, Melbourne has lost the first quarter in each of its last three games as favourite. The Kings will be ready to take advantage if Melbourne start slowly again. PointsBet is paying 2.15 for the Kings to jump out of the blocks and win the first quarter.