Rosehill – Tancred Stakes Day Betting Tips
Rosehill Gardens hosts the best of theis weekend’s racing with Tancred Stakes Day.
With two Group 1 races to get our teeth stuck into, we’ve picked out the best bets from Saturday’s action. So, let’s get cracking in our quest to find the value.
Tricolours Racing & Syndications Tulloch Stakes (Race 5)
Mongolian Marshal goes into our first featured race at Rosehill Gardens as the clear favourite at a general $3.50.
The three-year-old is in good form having picked up the first two wins of his relatively young racing career but it’s not immediately obvious why he’s so well fancied by the bookies.
This is Mongolian Marshal’s first attempt at 2000m and his first start for new trainers, Murray Baker and Andrew Forsman who are winless in the last fortnight.
Primitivo, therefore, could be a much better option at a best price of $11 with Bet365.
John Thompson’s gelding hit the bar when finishing second on each of his last two starts but should improve for the step up in distance due how strongly he travels. There’s no doubt he’s an outside shot but an each-way bet could pay out nicely.
Kia Tancred Stakes (Race 6)
There is A$1,000,000 on the line in the Group 1 Tancred Stakes. The field contains some high quality middle distance horses but the early betting suggests that it will come down to a two way battle between Gailo Chop and Almandin.
Gailo Chop’s been given the nod as the favourite largely thanks to his impressive win last time out in the Ranvet Stakes. That was this talented seven-year-old’s third win in four starts but none of those were over 2400m.
Almandin also competed in the Ranved. While he could only finish fourth at Rosehill last week, there is every chance that the eight-year-old will reverse that form over the longer trip.
Kerrin McEvoy, the jockey who saddled Almandin to Melbourne Cup glory, is back on board and feeling confident of another big win. We think McEvoy and Almandin’s trainer, Liam Howley, will be celebrating on Saturday so recommend you take the $3.70 that Betstars are quoting about his chances.
Vinery Stud Stakes (Race 7)
The Vinery Stud Stakes is the second Group 1 on the Rosehill card and this race for three-year-old fillies looks to be much more open than the Tancred.
Six horses are rated between $5.00 and $8.00 with the bookies so picking the winner of this one will be no easy task.
With so many potential winners, tactics are going to play a key role in this 2000m contest. Will the winner lead the pack from the start and set the pace or will they come through with a late burst?
If the race is run at a steady pace there is every chance that the narrow favourite, Unforgotten will burst through with a late show of pace to win another Group 1 for trainer Chris Waller. She certainly possesses a great turn of pace but the distance may just prove to be Unforgotten’s undoing.
On the other side of the coin, Aloisia has done much of her best work when either setting the pace or closely tracking the leaders.
The main concern for backers of the Mark Zahara-trained Aloisia is her poor recent form, however, we’re willing to give her a pass. She is back competing against her own sex and looked the part in a recent Cranbourne trial.
It’s going to require a return to her best but backing Aloisia could well be the smart move at $6.00 with Palmerbet.
Top Betting Tips
Primitivo each-way in Race 5 at $11 with Bet365
Almandin to win Race 6 at $3.70 with Betstars
Aloisia to win Race 7 at $6.00 with Palmerbet