AUSSIE FREE BET BETTING BLOG

Published: 17.01.2017

Melbourne Cup Betting Tips

The first Tuesday in November means it is time for the richest two-mile handicap in the world, the Melbourne Cup, staged at the world famous Flemington Racecourse.

This year the 156th edition of the ‘Race That Stops A Nation’ will be staged on November 1st and will, as usual, be keenly contested by some of the best horses Australia and the international racing community has to offer.

2016 Melbourne Cup Betting

The current favourite for the 2016 race is Ireland’s Order Of St George. Winner of last season’s Irish St Leger, the Aidan O’Brien trained four-year-old is currently on a winning streak of six, landing all of his three 2016 starts including Royal Ascot’s Gold Cup.

Naturally the Melbourne Cup weights have yet to be announced but it will be fascinating to see what weight the son of Galileo will be allocated. There was much furor when Ireland’s Vintage Crop won the Melbourne Cup 23-years ago with allegations of lenient handicapping. There has not been an Irish-trained winner of the famous race since Media Puzzle scored in 2002.

The home defence could be led by Winx who has won her last ten outings, all but one of which were in Group 1 or 2 company. But the super-mare has only raced beyond 11 furlongs once, when she was beaten. Her qualifications have to be questioned for this stamina-sapping contest.

Naturally there is a long list of horses that could attempt to land the lucrative title including last season’s 100/1 Melbourne Cup winner Prince of Penzance. But only five horses have won this race more than once and given he will carry more than 53 kilos this time, his Melbourne Cup odds of 50/1 look justified.

Last year three of the first five horses were trained overseas, and given the number of winners that have hailed from foreign parts, it may be prudent to primarily look at the visiting contingent.

Fifth in the 2015 Melbourne Cup was Big Orange who ran a blinder given his 60/1 odds and starting from barrier 23. He has won a pair of Group 2’s in England since and looks to be on the improve. He’s likely to be burdened with more than last year’s 55.5kg but should be capable of another big run.

Old adversary Quest for More, 9th in last year’s Melbourne Cup, is reportedly unlikely to make the visit in 2016. The participation of Trip to Paris, fourth in last year’s race, has to be in doubt. Injured in the Japan Cup after the 2015 race, he has been lacklustre in two 2016 starts. At least the 2015 Melbourne Cup runner-up, Max Dynamite is still on course to make the trip down-under, albeit he was beaten 18 lengths when last seen in action in the Ascot Gold Cup.

But a new contender has emerged in the form of Mizzou. Runner-up to Order of St George in that Ascot Gold Cup, Mizzou is trained by Luca Cumani, father of Channel Seven racing presenter Francesca, who has made several attempts at landing Australia’s biggest prize. With a lightly-raced five-year-old, he may well have a very well handicapped horse come November.

Talking of lightly raced horses and returning to the home defence, the Irish-bred Signoff is the shortest priced runner in the current betting lists. Although Darren Weir’s six-year-old finished fourth in the 2014 Melbourne Cup, he has since run just twice, beaten in a one-mile 2015 Flemington handicap and then successful in a 13 furlong (2,600 metre) Group 3 at Morphettville, when backed off the boards and winning by over six-lengths.

Melbourne Cup Betting

At this stage of proceedings only an ante-post Melbourne Cup betting odds market is available for those with Melbourne Cup betting tips. But, thanks to this modern day social media driven era, ante-post markets are amongst some of the easiest to play.

The strategy is simple: Follow the Twitter accounts/websites of all major trainers and news feeds to pick-up (and use) any information they provide in regards to the well-being and intended participation of potential Melbourne Cup runners.

The very moment a trainer confirms his horse is an intended Melbourne Cup runner the probability is… the Melbourne Cup horse odds on offer in the ante-post betting lists is in excess of his chances of prevailing.

Naturally, come race day, there will be a wealth of markets on offer for the great race. Everything from Quinellas to Trifectas and sportsbooks will be offering match-bets and distance special amongst a host of other markets, which will cater for all possible Melbourne Cup betting tips.

On top of all of these, let us not forget the great Melbourne Cup free bets that start pouring in as the race approaches, every fall. Be sure to check back on AussieFreeBet.com.au for the latest and best free bets available for the race.

2016 Melbourne Cup Odds

Looking at the latest Melbourne Cup odds, we fancy odds of 25/1 with each-way terms of 1-2-3-4 (quarter-the-odds) on Signoff, trained by last year’s Melbourne Cup winning conditioner, and is the first horse we recommend you put in your Melbourne Cup betting tips ante-post portfolio.

Again, this time at 50/1, we are taking the each-way Melbourne Cup betting option with Mizzou. Trainer Luca Cumani has saddled a Melbourne Cup runner-up with Bauer, beaten by a nose in 2008 and saw his Mount Athos finish fifth and third in 2012 and 2013. Maybe 2016 will be his year.

Should Winx be confirmed a runner, the current top-price of 20/1 about this immensely popular mare will quickly disappear, as she will surely go off favourite. However, only one favourite has prevailed since Makybe Diva justified favouritism in 2005, that being Fiorente in 2013.