Horse Racing Betting - Aussie Free Bet Blog
Kingston Town Classic Betting Offers and Tips
Ascot Racecourse, Perth is the venue for the final Group 1 race of the Australian season on Saturday.
The Kingston Town Classic is a weight for age race open to horses aged three and older. With a prize fund of A$1,000,000 on offer, some of the best middle distance horses from interstate and more locally are scheduled to head to Ascot for this 1800m contest.
Traditionally a very competitive race to win, the 2017 edition will doubtless be a highlight of the Perth summer racing carnival.
Past Five Winners
2016 – Stratum Star, ridden by Damian Lane, trained by D K Weir
2015 – Perfect Reflection, ridden by W Pike, trained by Grant Williams
2014 – Moriarty, ridden by D Whyte, trained by C J Waller
2013 – Ihtsahymn, ridden by S Parnham, trained by F R Kersley
2012 – Luckgray, ridden by S O’Donnell, trained by G P Poletti
Older Horses Have a Statistical Edge
In the search for a winning bet it’s usually a good idea to go through the stats to try and profile the winner.
As the Kingston Town Classic was first run in 1976 we have more than enough information to pick out some key stats and the first thing that jumps out is the performances of older horses.
Only four three-year-olds have won the Kingston Town Classic since the turn of the century. Favouring the older horses could pay dividends but it’s also important to ensure the horse you back is in good form.
Strong performers in the Lee Steere Stakes, the WA Guineas and especially in the Railway Stakes are worthy of closer inspection.
The step up from the Railway Stakes (a handicap) to winning the Kingston Town Classic looks a big one but in all, eight horses have done exactly that since 2000.
Given the availability of helpful stats, the bookies tend to have a good handle on the Kingston Town Classic. We’ve had eight winning favourites in the last 20 years with nine more favourites finishing in the places.
Top Three in the Railway Stakes Face Off Again
It is no surprise that the top three in the recent Railway Stakes are all set for another appearance at Ascot on Saturday.
The Kingston Town Classic represents a step up in class and in distance (the Railway Stakes is run over 1600m) but each of Great Shot, Black Heart Bart and Tom Melbourne’s chances should be respected.
He got off to a flying start two weeks ago but it was the way he rallied when jockey, Craig Staples, asked questions of him in the closing straight that really impressed. The strength Great Shot showed when finishing suggests he’ll have no problems with the extra 200m so he looks a great each-way option.
As for the other two, Black Heart Bart is the one most punters will side with. He’s the bookies favourite at a general $3.20 and while you can’t write his chances off, we’re finding it hard to get too excited at that price.
It’s Somewhat the Pick of the Favourites
Black Heart Bart is closely followed by It’s Somewhat and Perfect Jewel in the betting. Of those two, it’s the former we most like the look of.
The Godolphin owned It’s Somewhat has been aimed at this race and trainer, James Cummings, is delighted with his seven-year-old ahead of Saturday’s race.
It’s Somewhat has been performing against top quality gallopers for a long time now and showed he is ready for the specific challenge of the Kingstown Town Classic by winning a trial in Belmont just a few weeks ago.
As we’ve seen, the bookies are usually there or thereabouts with their odds and the second favourite is the one we’re siding with at $4.80 with Sportsbet.
Kingston Town Classic Top Betting Tips
It’s Somewhat to win at $4.80 with Sportsbet
Great Shot each-way at $19 with Unibet