Australia v England - Aussie Cricket Betting Blog
Australia v England First Ashes Test Betting Offers and Tips
The Socceroos did Australia proud by qualifying for the World Cup against Honduras last week. Now it’s time for the Baggy Greens to follow suit as the Ashes begins on Thursday.
The expectations of Australia fans have been raised as England arrive Down Under in pretty poor shape. Injuries to key bowlers and the ongoing absence of Ben Stokes has led the England selectors to dig deep into the talent pool to put an Ashes squad together.
Of course, something similar can be said about Australia.
There are question marks about the hosts’ batting line up – especially as you move towards the tail – and the recall of Tim Paine to the test team has been met with widespread disbelief.
As with any Ashes series, both teams will be hoping to set the tone with the first test. In that regard, Australia should be confident as the last time England won at the Gabba was over 30 years ago.
England Capable of a Surprise Win at the Gabba
Australia are the odds-on favourites across the board for the first test. That’s a fair reading given the weight of history, the ability for the home side to prepare the Gabba pitch to their liking and the fact that England are without Toby Rowland-Jones and Mark Wood are out injured in addition to Stokes.
However, England just look a big price in the double chance market.
Unlike the Baggy Greens, this England side bat very deep. Yes, they’ll need to rely on Alastair Cook and Mark Stoneman to take the sting out of Mitchell Starc and Pat Cummins charging in with the new ball, but the former has history at the Gabba while the latter is in great nick.
Even if the England openers fall early, Australia have no guarantee of success against the rest of the England batsmen who have been preparing to face quick bowling on a hard pitch.
On the other side, England’s quicks can waste no time getting used to a pitch which will be considerably faster than the sort of wickets served up during the 2015 Ashes. In that respect, Jimmy Anderson and Stuart Broad’s experience gives the tourists reason to be quietly confident.
While may not have won at the Gabba for over 30 years but they drew in Brisbane in 2010 thanks to an incredible knock of 235 not out by Cook.
Another draw is a distinct possibility, as is Australia falling short in the opener so take the $2.08 that Unibet are quoting on the England/draw double chance option.
Broad and Cummins to be the Pick of the Bowlers
England have done all they can to manage Jimmy Anderson’s fitness ahead of the Ashes. At 35, the so-called ‘King of Swing’ remains a key cog in the England bowling attack.
However, England’s record wicket taker will be better suited to the conditions of the day-night test which is second up at the Adelaide Oval.
Moeen Ali is another important weapon in the England arsenal at the Gabba but, like Anderson, he too may be outshone by Stuart Broad.
Broad is an adaptable bowler capable of taking wickets on almost any surface. Against a potentially fragile Australian lower order, Broad should be the top England bowler at $4.33 with Bet365.
When it comes to the hosts, we think the raw pace of Pat Cummins is going to be the most potent weapon. He’ll be the fastest bowler on show at the Gabba and will be licking his lips at the prospect of facing an England team who did not impress in the warm up games.
We also think that Steve Smith will prove his class once and that the Australia captain will top score with the bat for his team.
That makes the $12 that Sportsbet are quoting on Smith/Cummins selection look good value in the first innings top batsmen/top bowler double market.
Australia v England First Ashes Top Betting Tips
England/draw double chance at $2.08 with Unibet
Stuart Broad to be the top England bowler at $4.33 with Bet365
Steve Smith top batsmen/Pat Cummins top bowler in the Australian first innings at $12 with Sportsbet