Western Bulldogs vs Richmond - AFL Betting Tips 04-05-2019

Published: 01.05.2019

There’ll be plenty on the line when the Western Bulldogs play Richmond on Saturday night. The Dogs have slumped to 14th on the ladder after four straight losses. Richmond have won three in a row, but have the worst percentage of a group of seven teams with 4-2 win-loss records.

Western Bulldogs v Richmond Preview

Luke Beveridge would have been feeling a sense of déjà vu during his team’s loss to Fremantle last Saturday. As they have for most of the season, the Dogs’ midfield crew of Marcus Bontempelli, Jack Macrae, Lachie Hunter, and Tom Liberatore dominated clearances, but the team was belted around the ground. Three of the Bulldogs’ four consecutive losses have been by less than 20 points, but close doesn’t get you the four premiership points.

Richmond have been winning without being overly impressive, although their performances tell you plenty about their character. Jack Riewoldt and David Astbury both went down again in the Anzac Day Eve win over Melbourne and will join Alex Rance on the sidelines. Once again, Damien Hardwick and his coaching team will have to deal with the question of how to cover their stars.

Western Bulldogs v Richmond Betting Tips

Surprisingly, the Bulldogs have a 4-1 edge over Richmond in recent games. Richmond won by three points at the MCG last year, but the Dogs won by five points in Richmond’s premiership year of 2017 and by 10 points in their own premiership year in 2016. The Dogs may have the recent edge, but it’s hard to see Richmond losing this one. Unibet is paying 1.26 for a Richmond win, which could be good value as part of a multi bet.

Judging by the head-to-head record, these teams could be in for a close encounter. Three of their last five matches have been decided by less than a kick, and the average margin has been just 7.8 points. For a safe line bet, we recommend taking the Bulldogs at +23.5 points at bet365.