Collingwood vs Western Bulldogs - AFL - Betting Tips 12-04-2019

Published: 10.04.2019

AFL fans want big matches on Friday nights, and they’ll get what they want this week when Collingwood play the Bulldogs at the MCG. The Maggies have had a tough start to the year against quality opponents, and it won’t get any easier against a resurgent Bulldogs.

Collingwood v Bulldogs AFL Preview

Collingwood are stuck on a 1-2 win-loss record after losing the grand final rematch against West Coast on Saturday. The Pies looked threatening early as Jordan de Goey kicked three early goals, but West Coast stifled them in the last three quarters to run out 22-point winners.

The Bulldogs are coming off a rather surprising loss to Gold Coast. It’s hard to know what to make of the game, which saw the Doggies dominate the inside 50s 66 to 48 but waste chances in front of goal to lose by five points. The Bulldogs came from a long way back to beat Hawthorn the previous week, and almost repeated the trick against Gold Coast.  They may well have won had the match gone for a couple more minutes.

Collingwood v Western Bulldogs Betting Tips

This match will showcase two teams with contrasting game styles. Collingwood are easily the league’s top team for uncontested possessions and marks. Their keepings-off style worked against Richmond in round two but broke down against West Coast in round three. The Dogs are fifth for clearances and first for inside 50s, averaging 66.7 i50s to Collingwood’s 51. Clearly the new 6-6-6 centre bounce structure is paying dividends for the Bulldogs, but can they keep it going against Collingwood? It’s hard not to be tempted by Palmerbet’s offer of 4.90 for a Bulldogs upset win.

Collingwood beat the Bulldogs by 35 points last year but lost the five previous games against their rivals from the western suburbs. The bookies are underrating the Dogs a bit too much, with bet365 giving them +30.5 start in line betting.


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