AUSSIE FREE BET BETTING BLOG
Hawthorn Hawks v St Kilda Saints AFL Betting Preview and Bet Tips
The Hawthorn Hawks at Aurora Stadium. A short sentence but one that is enough to strike fear into any AFL team. The Hawks have won their last 16 games in Tasmania and according to the bookies there is no chance of the Saints stopping that record on Saturday. However, this could be a much closer game then many people believe and there plenty of better betting options than the 1.09 Sportsbet are quoting on a Hawks win.
The Hawks are used to winning games of footy. Premiers each of the last three years, they can dominate their opposition with alarming regularity but that was not the case last week against the Western Bulldogs. It took some incredible late defensive work to secure their second win of the campaign and after dusting themselves down, the players could reflect on the benefits of such a tough challenge at this early stage.
The Saints also caught the eye in Round 3. Having lost their opening two matches nobody really fancied them to get a result against Collingwood but they ended the game victors by 29 points thanks in no small part to their impressive young midfield. The likes of Jack Newnes and Jack Billings are showing signs of developing into quality players and they are certainly benefiting from playing alongside experienced heads, Leigh Montagna and Jack Steven.
This is going to be an intriguing battle in the middle of the pitch but it is at the ends of the pitch where the Hawks are really strong. Their ball movement is top class and they have a number of players capable of popping up with a goal or two. Saints will find it very hard to stop the Hawks from putting on a big score at Aurora Stadium.
The bookies then, are correct in calling this match for the Hawks but the handicap lines surely underestimate the Saints’ strength. Sportsbet make the line 48.5 points which is big enough for the Saints management to use as a motivational tool. Even in Aurora Stadium against the best footy side in the AFL we think that betting on St Kilda Saints +48.5 at 1.92 with Sportsbet is an option not to miss out on.
If the Saints are to overcome the handicap line they are going to have to score and score regularly. The Hawks have a frightening attacking line up which will almost certainly post a big score in front of a passionate crowd. Those outstanding Saints young guns will need to chip in to try and match the 18 goals they kicked last week against Collingwood. With little to lose the Saints are going to give this their best shot so bet on both teams scoring over 67 points at 1.85 with Bet365.
The Saints’ young players are going to continue to win plaudits this season but Leigh Montagna may be the main man for his team even if he goes under the radar. The 32-year-old is 4.33 with Bet365 to have the most disposals and for a man with his work rate and impressive disposal stats that looks a very good bet.
St Kilda Saints +48.5 points at 1.92 with Sportsbet
Both teams to score 67+ points at 1.85 with Bet365
Leigh Montagna most disposals at 4.33 with Bet365
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